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Potential vectors of lifting US sanctions and their impact on the exchange rate

https://doi.org/10.37493/2307-907X.2025.4.9

Abstract

   Introduction. In the current economic situation, characterized by prolonged sanctions measures, the task of finding new areas of growth and restoring business contacts inevitably arises. Therefore, the study of ways to return to normal economic relations is of particular importance. The lifting of US sanctions can significantly change market conditions, from the dynamics of exchange rates to the scale of international trade. In this context, it is important to study the impact of the resumption of trade relations on changes in exchange rates and the strengthening of the role of Russia in the global arena. These processes will have a direct impact on investment decision-making, the level of trust of foreign investors and the overall rating of our country among international trading partners.

   Goal. The analysis of the consequences of the lifting of US sanctions includes studying the impact of such changes on the dynamics of foreign exchange markets and international trade, which can significantly affect the investment environment and the prospects for further economic growth of the state.

   Materials and methods. The research methodology is based on a combination of quantitative and qualitative approaches, including an economic and statistical study of historical information and analytical expert opinions on the current situation in the global economy.

   Results and discussion. In the course of this study, a comparative analysis of the effect caused by the lifting of US sanctions on the state of exchange rates and international relations was carried out. The assessment of changes in currency quotations helped identify the most important circumstances affecting the stability and volatility of national monetary units. The analysis revealed the key problem of the lack of stability in international relations, which has a direct impact on the situation in financial markets.

   Conclusion. The results of the study showed the main difficulties and obstacles preventing the rapid restoration of economic relations after the lifting of US sanctions, as well as their possible impact on exchange rates and international relations in the near future. One of the key conclusions was the importance of attracting investments to accelerate and strengthen these market processes. Financial investments stimulate economic development and strengthen international partnerships, which will positively affect the dynamics of exchange rates and overall financial stability.

About the Authors

I. V. Merkulova
North-Caucasus Federal University
Russian Federation

Inna V. Merkulova, Cand. Sci. (Econ.), Associate Professor, Associate Professor of the Department

Institute of Economics and Management; Department of Finance and Credit

355017; 1, Pushkin str.; Stavropol

Researcher ID: IUQ-3667-2023



O. N. Chuvilova
North-Caucasus Federal University
Russian Federation

Oksana N. Chuvilova, Cand. Sci. (Econ.), Associate Professor, Associate Professor of the Department

Institute of Economics and Management; Department of Finance and Credit

355017; 1, Pushkin str.; Stavropol

Researcher ID: IQU-3309-2023



A. A. Sokolova
North-Caucasus Federal University
Russian Federation

Alfiya A. Sokolova, Cand. Sci. (Econ.), Associate Professor, Associate Professor of the Department

Institute of Economics and Management; Department of Finance and Credit

355017; 1, Pushkin str.; Stavropol

Researcher ID: MBH-3882-2025



V. M. Vartanyan
North-Caucasus Federal University
Russian Federation

Vazgen M. Vartanyan, Bachelor student

Institute of Economics and Management

355017; 1, Pushkin str.; Stavropol

Researcher ID: LUY-1175-2024



M. N. Nagornaya
North-Caucasus Federal University
Russian Federation

Maria N. Nagornaya, Bachelor student

Institute of Economics and Management

355017; 1, Pushkin str.; Stavropol

Researcher ID: LUW-8968-2024



References

1. The future of the ruble: what will happen to the currency after the lifting of sanctions. Available from: https://bankiros.ru/news/kak-otmena-sankcij-izmenit-kurs-valut-prognoz-15723

2. The official website of banki.ru. Available from: https://www.banki.ru/wikibank/vidyi_sanktsiy/

3. The official website of the Beststocks online service. Available from: https://beststocks.ru/currency/usd/history/5years

4. The official website of the financial assistant Mainfin.ru Available from: https://mainfin.ru/currency/cb-rf/usd/date/2024

5. The official website of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation. Available from: https://cbr.ru/

6. The official website of the operator of mining data centers BitRiver. Available from: https://lp-bitriver.ru/

7. The official website of the Russian Council on International Affairs. Available from: https://russiancouncil.ru/

8. The Labor Code of the Russian Federation dated 12/30/2001 № 197-FZ (as amended on 12/26/2024) Available from: https://www.consultant.ru/document/cons_doc_LAW_34683/

9. The Criminal Code of the Russian Federation of 13. 06. 1996 № 63-FZ (as amended on 28. 12. 2024) (as amended and supplemented, intro. effective from 08. 01. 2025) Available from: https://www.consultant.ru/document/cons_doc_LAW_10699/


Review

For citations:


Merkulova I.V., Chuvilova O.N., Sokolova A.A., Vartanyan V.M., Nagornaya M.N. Potential vectors of lifting US sanctions and their impact on the exchange rate. Newsletter of North-Caucasus Federal University. 2025;(4):88-96. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.37493/2307-907X.2025.4.9

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ISSN 2307-907X (Print)