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The assessment of potential and risk management at oil refining enterprises

https://doi.org/10.37493/2307-907X.2025.3.10

Abstract

Introduction. The task of assessing industrial potential seems to be especially relevant for Russia. The presence of large-scale capacities, resource potential and specialists, combined with poor market knowledge and tougher competition, suggests that the regions of the Russian Federation are poorly using their industrial potential. As a result, industrial systems not only do not control their niche in the market, but their market positions is constantly becoming worse. In such conditions, it becomes necessary to search for and develop a new approach to assessing and managing the industrial potential of the regions of the Russian Federation. Goal. The study aims to develop risk analysis tools for the oil refining industry to assess the industrial potential of this industry. Materials and methods. To solve the tasks, methods of economic and mathematical modeling, system, technical, economic and financial analysis, expert methods, methods of research of operations and decision-making, mathematical statistics, general and special-purpose software MS EXCEL, STATISTICA, SPSS were used. Results and discussion. The use of the proposed methodological approach to risk assessment makes it possible to identify and prevent multiple hazards for enterprises in the industry that can negatively affect the operating activities of the company and create risks of its existence as a whole. The solution to the problem of effective minimization of risks in the oil refining sector should be based on a complete and adequate assessment of events and processes, both in the industry and in the country and in the world, which is the basis for the effective functioning of the enterprise and, as a direct result, of the regions as a whole, since, as historically developed, often these companies are city-forming. Conclusion. The studies conducted show that the issues of effective management of the industrial potential of the regions of the Russian Federation are especially relevant in conditions of lack of necessary resources. This determines the need for a comprehensive study of the industrial potential of the regions, the impact of the external and internal environment on it, and a study on the management of industrial potential.

About the Authors

T. A. Kulagovskaya
North-Caucasus Federal University (1, Pushkin str., Stavropol, 355017, Russian Federation)
Russian Federation

Tatiana A. Kulagovskaya – Dr. Sci. (Econ.), Professor, Head of the Department of Tourism and Hospitality
Industry



G. V. Tatamirov
North-Caucasus Federal University (1, Pushkin str., Stavropol, 355017, Russian Federation)
Russian Federation

Georgiy V. Tatamirov – Postgraduate Student of the Department of Tourism and Hospitality Industry



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For citations:


Kulagovskaya T.A., Tatamirov G.V. The assessment of potential and risk management at oil refining enterprises. Newsletter of North-Caucasus Federal University. 2025;(3):107-115. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.37493/2307-907X.2025.3.10

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ISSN 2307-907X (Print)