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THE MODEL OF FORECASTING THE EXCHANGE RATE OF THE RUBLE IN OPERATIONAL PLANNING AND MANAGEMENT FINANCIAL AND ECONOMIC ACTIVITY

Abstract

In the article the questions of creation of adequate models that predict the dependence of the exchange rate of the national currency on the price of oil for use in operational planning and forecasting offinancial and economic activity of enterprises and organizations. Specifies requirements for the methodical-instrumental unit of research in this area, and proposes an improved method of developing a mathematical model for operational forecasting of the complex «oil price-exchange rate of the ruble». It is recommended that the author's algorithm of calculation of the sustainability and adequacy of the obtained characteristics.

About the Authors

Alexander Gladilin
NCFU
Russian Federation


Olga Gridina
NCFU
Russian Federation


References

1. Гладилин А. В., Хашкуева Б. М. Особенности использования методов прогнозирования при изучении функционирования и развития региональных систем // Международный научно-исследовательский журнал. 2013. Ч. 3. № 7 (14). Екатеринбург: Изд-во МНИЖ, 2013.

2. Гладилин А. В., Ушвицкий Л. И. Проблема кредитования нефтегазового сектора в современных условиях // Проблемы экономики и управления нефтегазовым комплексом. 2014. № 3. М.: Изд-во ВНИИОЭНГ, 2014.

3. Гладилин А. В., Гридина О. Н. Организация инновационной деятельности на предприятиях нефтегазового комплекса // Молодые экономисты. Ставрополь: Изд-во СКФУ, 2015.

4. Investing.com. [Электронный ресурс]. URL: http://ru.investing.com/commodities/brent-oil (дата обращения: 01.11.2015).


Review

For citations:


Gladilin A., Gridina O. THE MODEL OF FORECASTING THE EXCHANGE RATE OF THE RUBLE IN OPERATIONAL PLANNING AND MANAGEMENT FINANCIAL AND ECONOMIC ACTIVITY. Newsletter of North-Caucasus Federal University. 2015;(6):66-74. (In Russ.)

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ISSN 2307-907X (Print)